BANGALORE: With Karnataka registering a record more than 71% polling on May 5 polls, all political parties are keeping their fingers crossed as the results will be out by Wednesday noon. With exit polls widely predicting a Congress victory, the party is confident of returning to power. Its leaders G Parameshwara and Siddaramaiah have assessed the party will cross 120 seats and would form the government on its own.
Polling percentage of over 71%, which has broken 35-year old record, has further boosted the confidence of Congress, which is saying that high polling is negative voting for the party in power. Chief minister Jagadish Shettar and JD(S) leader H D Kumaraswamy have said that vote count on Wednesday would prove these polls wrong.
Most of the trends and exits polls have given Congress enough seats to form the government on its own, while couple of surveys say the party will fall short of some seats to reach magic mark of 113 seats in the 224 assembly strength and state has to be content with fractured mandate as in 2004 and 2008. Election was held to 223 seats following death of BJP candidate in Piriyapatana assembly segment, which has been put off to May 28.
The ruling-BJP and the third major political force in the state, the JD(S), have dismissed the exit poll findings that they have to be content with being a distant second and third respectively.
Though exit polls have predicted severe set back for BJP, the party is hoping to garner at least 80 seats to form government with the support of JD(S). However, BJP state president Prahalad Joshi said he was sure that party would get enough numbers to form the government on its own. Trends have predicted that BJP would not cross 50 seats and won't be surprising even if the ruling party is third spot.
The surveys have also dismissed that JD(S) would play any role in the formation of government as only 35-45 seats have been given to the party. Former chief minister Kumaraswamy is confident and said that they will get the majority. Just couple of days before elections, he stated that JD(S) would be happy to sit in opposition benches if they don't the majority.
The performance of former chief minister headed Karnataka Janata Party (KJP) and former minister B Sriramulu led BSR Congress, which are off-shoot of the BJP, is keenly watched as the more seats these parties get, more the political drama is expected in coming days. According to Yeddyurappa's own confession, his party will easily cross 50 seats as the major community Lingayats have solidly backed KJP. Sriramulu said BSR Congress will make major impact and garner large number of seats in Hyderabad-Karnataka region. Prima facie, it appears that Yeddyurappa may have accomplished his task to decimate the BJP, by chipping away a few percentage of votes.
Who ever the chief minister is, Yeddyurappa is not averse to support Congress in case of required numbers fall shot by few. Political mood inside Congress is that KJP would be the first choice for it have post-poll alliance than the JD(S). In the last elections, the BJP had secured nearly one percent votes less than Congress but still managed to bag 30 seats more than it.
Like last elections in 2008, Wednesday's result is expected to throw some surprises. While former CM N Dharam Singh and senior Congress leader R V Deshpande were defeated, six Independents played a key role in government formation.
Future of nearly 3,000 candidates for 223 assembly segments will be decided when the counting starts at 8am and is expected by know actual trend by 11 am. Counting will be held in 36 centres across the state, including 4 centres for 28 Bangalore assembly segments.
CM RACE KICK-STARTS:
While both -- Parameshwara or Siddaramaiah - are front runners, Congress leader D K Shiva Kumar is camping in New Delhi even before results are out claiming he is in the race for CM's post in the event of Congress coming to power. Kumar said that he is a 5 time MLA and will be sixth time on Wednesday and stands good chance to claim for the CM's post from Vokkaliga camp. Ever since poll predictions gave good numbers to Congress, list of CM aspirants have been growing in the party.
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