Abdullah Abdullah, who the initial results say has lost the election to Ashraf Ghani sharpened the edge of the impending crisis on Tuesday, declaring he might set up a parallel government. A worried India hoped "the Afghan leadership cutting across party lines knows that while winning an election requires simple arithmetic majority, running a country requires inclusiveness and an ability to carry everyone along," said the MEA spokesperson. The winner, Ashraf Ghani, is generally believed to be a favourite of the western countries.
The process now goes into the Electoral Complaints Commission, an untested institution whose job it will be to decide whether there has been electoral fraud in the runoff. Prima facie, certain things have stood out as being odd. While the first round of elections saw around 7 million voters exercising their franchise, the runoff, with less canvassing saw over 8 million voters in play. In some areas the voting percentage has gone up by hundreds of percentage points.
"So far as India is concerned we have the ability to work with whoever comes to power. But at this point in Afghanistan's history, the process of elections, whatever the outcome, must be believable and acceptable to the people," said Jayant Prasad, former Indian ambassador to Afghanistan. This is the time when the cushion of international presence is thinning rapidly. Afghans will have to chart their own course, which means they have to work on their own institutions in a way that is credible to Afghans. Social fissures at this time could be grist to the mill for forces like Taliban and Pakistan to destabilize Afghanistan.
Privately, India is critical of the role played by the existing Afghan president, Hamid Karzai. "As the head of government, Karzai should have ensured the integrity of the election process," said an exasperated official. Karzai welcomed the IEC's announcement of the preliminary results, but cautioned the need to wait for final results, saying: "The people of Afghanistan have shown great patience and waited long for the announcement of the preliminary results. However, the next president will be inaugurated after declaration of the final results".
Many western nations have called for an audit of the results, which means there will be no final word on this until the end of July. But there is growing alarm at the threat of unrest by Abdullah Abdullah and his supporters. US secretary of state John Kerry said, "Kerry also warned of the dangers of the use of extra-legal action during the electoral dispute, saying "Any action to take power by extra-legal means will cost Afghanistan the financial and security support of the United States and the international community."
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/followceleb.cms?alias=Afghan crisis,Abdullah Abdullah
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